Match Analysis

1. FC Union BerlinvsSV Elversberg

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

4%
7%
89%
1. FC Union Berlin winDrawSV Elversberg win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
0.89Avg goals scored1.81
4.42Avg goals conceded1.64
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected goals

4

SV Elversberg xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

8%

0–4

8%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

0–2

6%

0–5

6%

Home

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

LLLDW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 4.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg

DLWWW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.6

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win 1. FC Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?

SV Elversberg is favored with a 89% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is 1. FC Union Berlin's current form?

1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

1. FC Union Berlin Win4%
Draw7%
SV Elversberg Win89%
BTTS58%
Over 2.587%