Match Analysis

1. FC Union BerlinvsTSG Hoffenheim

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

30%
21%
49%
1. FC Union Berlin winDrawTSG Hoffenheim win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
0.76Avg goals scored2.10
2.03Avg goals conceded1.73
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

1. FC Union Berlin xG

Expected goals

2

TSG Hoffenheim xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

0–2

6%

Home

1. FC Union Berlin

1. FC Union Berlin

DDDWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win 1. FC Union Berlin vs TSG Hoffenheim?

TSG Hoffenheim is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is 1. FC Union Berlin's current form?

1. FC Union Berlin have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 7 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

1. FC Union Berlin Win30%
Draw21%
TSG Hoffenheim Win49%
BTTS67%
Over 2.568%