Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburg Sv
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Bayer Leverkusen xG
Expected goals
1.3
Hamburg SV xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
2–0
7%
1–0
6%
2–2
6%
Home
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Hamburg SV
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburg Sv?
Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?
Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Bayer Leverkusen won 1, drew 1, and Hamburg Sv won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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