Match Analysis

Bayer LeverkusenvsSC Freiburg

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
19%
57%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawSC Freiburg win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game2.20
2.92Avg goals scored2.68
1.69Avg goals conceded0.86
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Bayer Leverkusen xG

Expected goals

2.4

SC Freiburg xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

WWWDW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.9 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayer Leverkusen Win24%
Draw19%
SC Freiburg Win57%
BTTS71%
Over 2.575%