Bayer Leverkusenvs
SC Freiburg
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Bayer Leverkusen xG
Expected goals
2.4
SC Freiburg xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–1
7%
1–3
7%
2–2
7%
0–2
6%
0–1
5%
Home
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.9 / 1.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
SC Freiburg
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg?
SC Freiburg is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?
Bayer Leverkusen have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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