Bayern Munich vs 1 Fc Union Berlin
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Bayern Munich xG
Expected goals
0.4
1. FC Union Berlin xG
32%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
13%
4–0
13%
2–0
10%
5–0
10%
1–0
5%
3–1
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $21K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Bayern Munich
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
1. FC Union Berlin
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.3 / 3.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs 1 Fc Union Berlin?
Bayern Munich is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bayern Munich's current form?
Bayern Munich have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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