Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.9
Bayern Munich xG
Expected goals
0.9
Borussia Dortmund xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
17%
0–1
15%
1–0
15%
1–1
13%
0–2
7%
2–0
7%
Home
Bayern Munich
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.7
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.7
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
Bayern Munich is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bayern Munich's current form?
Bayern Munich have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Bayern Munich won 3, drew 2, and Borussia Dortmund won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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