Bayern Munich vs Rb Leipzig
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Bayern Munich xG
Expected goals
1.5
RB Leipzig xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
8%
3–1
7%
1–1
6%
2–0
6%
2–2
6%
1–2
5%
Home
Bayern Munich
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
4.4 / 1.1
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
RB Leipzig
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.5 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs Rb Leipzig?
Bayern Munich is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bayern Munich's current form?
Bayern Munich have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Bayern Munich won 4, drew 2, and Rb Leipzig won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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