Match Analysis

Bayern MunichvsRB Leipzig

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
23%
36%
Bayern Munich winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.80
3.15Avg goals scored3.30
0.92Avg goals conceded0.91
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Bayern Munich xG

Expected goals

1.6

RB Leipzig xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

3.1 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

3.3 / 0.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bayern Munich's current form?

Bayern Munich have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bayern Munich Win41%
Draw23%
RB Leipzig Win36%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%