Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Sv
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.4
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected goals
0.8
Hamburg SV xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
12%
1–0
10%
2–1
9%
3–0
9%
1–1
8%
3–1
8%
Home
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 0.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Hamburg SV
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 2.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Sv?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 69% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?
Borussia Dortmund have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 1, drew 1, and Hamburg Sv won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
⚡ Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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