Borussia Dortmund vs Sc Paderborn 07
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected goals
1
SC Paderborn 07 xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
17%
0–1
17%
1–0
13%
1–1
13%
0–2
8%
1–2
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $91K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.5 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
SC Paderborn 07
PPG
1.60
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Sc Paderborn 07?
SC Paderborn 07 is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?
Borussia Dortmund have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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