Match Analysis

Borussia DortmundvsWerder Bremen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

49%
23%
28%
Borussia Dortmund winDrawWerder Bremen win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.40
1.65Avg goals scored1.80
0.86Avg goals conceded1.48
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected goals

1.3

Werder Bremen xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

0–1

6%

Home

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.9

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

LWLWD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?

Borussia Dortmund have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Borussia Dortmund Win49%
Draw23%
Werder Bremen Win28%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%