Fc Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.7
FC Augsburg xG
Expected goals
1.2
Bayer Leverkusen xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
2–0
7%
3–0
7%
1–0
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $303K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
FC Augsburg
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
3.3 / 0.8
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Away
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.9 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fc Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?
FC Augsburg is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fc Augsburg's current form?
Fc Augsburg have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Fc Augsburg won 2, drew 0, and Bayer Leverkusen won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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