Fc Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
FC Cologne xG
Expected goals
3.2
Bayer Leverkusen xG
77%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
7%
1–3
7%
1–4
6%
2–3
6%
2–2
5%
2–4
5%
Home
FC Cologne
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 2.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Fc Cologne vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Fc Cologne's current form?
Fc Cologne have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Bundesliga meetings, Fc Cologne won 0, drew 0, and Bayer Leverkusen won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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