Match Analysis

FC ColognevsRB Leipzig

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

7%
11%
82%
FC Cologne winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.40
1.59Avg goals scored3.30
1.84Avg goals conceded0.91
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

FC Cologne xG

Expected goals

3.2

RB Leipzig xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

9%

0–2

8%

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–4

7%

1–4

7%

Home

FC Cologne

FC Cologne

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.8

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.3 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win FC Cologne vs RB Leipzig?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is FC Cologne's current form?

FC Cologne have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

FC Cologne Win7%
Draw11%
RB Leipzig Win82%
BTTS57%
Over 2.578%