โšก Match Analysis

Fc Cologne vs Werder Bremen

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Bundesliga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
24%
33%
FC Cologne winDrawWerder Bremen win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game0.80
1.59Avg goals scored0.88
2.56Avg goals conceded1.70
0โ€“2โ€“3Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)1โ€“1โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

FC Cologne xG

Expected goals

1.3

Werder Bremen xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1โ€“1

11%

2โ€“1

9%

1โ€“0

8%

1โ€“2

7%

2โ€“0

7%

0โ€“1

6%

Home

FC Cologne

FC Cologne

LLDLD

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 2.6

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

LLLDW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 4 meetings

Fc Cologneall timeWerder Bremen
1W
1D
2W
12 Apr 26
FC Cologne3โ€“1Werder Bremen
29 Nov 25
Werder Bremen1โ€“1FC Cologne
16 Feb 24
FC Cologne0โ€“1Werder Bremen
23 Sep 23
Werder Bremen2โ€“1FC Cologne

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fc Cologne vs Werder Bremen?

FC Cologne is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fc Cologne's current form?

Fc Cologne have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Bundesliga meetings, Fc Cologne won 1, drew 1, and Werder Bremen won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1โ€“1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 4 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

FC Cologne Win43%
Draw24%
Werder Bremen Win33%
BTTS59%
Over 2.558%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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