Match Analysis

Hamburg SVvsBayern Munich

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

3%
6%
91%
Hamburg SV winDrawBayern Munich win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
1.22Avg goals scored3.85
2.15Avg goals conceded0.94
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

Hamburg SV xG

Expected goals

4

Bayern Munich xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

85%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–3

10%

0–4

10%

0–5

8%

0–2

7%

1–3

7%

1–4

7%

Home

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

DDDWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

3.8 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hamburg SV vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 91% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hamburg SV's current form?

Hamburg SV have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 85%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Hamburg SV Win3%
Draw6%
Bayern Munich Win91%
BTTS49%
Over 2.585%