Match Analysis

Hamburg SVvsVfB Stuttgart

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
19%
64%
Hamburg SV winDrawVfB Stuttgart win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
1.29Avg goals scored1.58
2.85Avg goals conceded1.47
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Hamburg SV xG

Expected goals

2.4

VfB Stuttgart xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

0–2

9%

1–1

8%

1–3

8%

0–1

7%

0–3

7%

Home

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hamburg SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hamburg SV's current form?

Hamburg SV have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Hamburg SV Win17%
Draw19%
VfB Stuttgart Win64%
BTTS61%
Over 2.568%