Hamburg Sv vs Vfb Stuttgart
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.6
Hamburg SV xG
Expected goals
1.5
VfB Stuttgart xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
9%
1–2
8%
0–1
7%
1–0
7%
2–0
6%
Home
Hamburg SV
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.8
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
VfB Stuttgart
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 4.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Hamburg Sv vs Vfb Stuttgart?
Hamburg SV is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Hamburg Sv's current form?
Hamburg Sv have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Bundesliga meetings, Hamburg Sv won 1, drew 0, and Vfb Stuttgart won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Bundesliga