Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen
๐ฉ๐ช Bundesliga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Mainz xG
Expected goals
1.6
Bayer Leverkusen xG
62%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1โ1
11%
1โ2
9%
2โ1
8%
0โ1
7%
1โ0
7%
0โ2
6%
Home
Mainz
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.6 / 1.6
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Bayer Leverkusen
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mainz's current form?
Mainz have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Mainz won 0, drew 2, and Bayer Leverkusen won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
โก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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