โšก Match Analysis

Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Bundesliga ยท Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
24%
25%
Mainz winDrawEintracht Frankfurt win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.40
1.64Avg goals scored1.54
1.53Avg goals conceded2.04
2โ€“1โ€“2Record (Wโ€“Dโ€“L)0โ€“2โ€“3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Mainz xG

Expected goals

1.3

Eintracht Frankfurt xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2โ€“1

10%

1โ€“1

9%

1โ€“0

7%

2โ€“0

7%

3โ€“1

7%

1โ€“2

6%

Home

Mainz

Mainz

WLWLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head ยท Last 6 meetings

Mainzall timeEintracht Frankfurt
2W
2D
2W
22 Mar 26
Mainz2โ€“1Eintracht Frankfurt
9 Nov 25
Eintracht Frankfurt1โ€“0Mainz
4 May 25
Mainz1โ€“1Eintracht Frankfurt
21 Dec 24
Eintracht Frankfurt1โ€“3Mainz
26 Jan 24
Eintracht Frankfurt1โ€“0Mainz
27 Aug 23
Mainz1โ€“1Eintracht Frankfurt

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

Mainz is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Mainz's current form?

Mainz have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Mainz won 2, drew 2, and Eintracht Frankfurt won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2โ€“1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

โšก Poisson model ยท attack & defense ratings ยท last 5 matches ยท H2H 6 meetings ยท home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

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Match Odds

Mainz Win51%
Draw24%
Eintracht Frankfurt Win25%
BTTS65%
Over 2.568%

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Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi

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