Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Mainz xG
Expected goals
1.9
Eintracht Frankfurt xG
83%
Both Teams to Score
93%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
3–2
5%
4–2
5%
2–1
4%
2–2
4%
Home
Mainz
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.6 / 0.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Eintracht Frankfurt
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.9 / 3.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mainz vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Mainz is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mainz's current form?
Mainz have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Mainz won 2, drew 2, and Eintracht Frankfurt won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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