Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.2
Mainz xG
Expected goals
2.5
Werder Bremen xG
88%
Both Teams to Score
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–2
6%
2–2
5%
3–1
5%
3–3
5%
4–2
5%
2–1
4%
Home
Mainz
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.7 / 2.4
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Werder Bremen
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Mainz vs Werder Bremen?
Mainz is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Mainz's current form?
Mainz have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 88%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Bundesliga