Match Analysis

Sc Freiburg vs Bayern Munich

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

8%
12%
80%
SC Freiburg winDrawBayern Munich win

Key Stats

2.40Points per game3.00
2.44Avg goals scored4.38
1.67Avg goals conceded1.08
4–0–1Record (W–D–L)5–0–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

SC Freiburg xG

Expected goals

4

Bayern Munich xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

92%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

13

6%

14

6%

12

5%

15

5%

23

5%

24

5%

Home

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

WWWLW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.7

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Away

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

4.4 / 1.1

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Sc Freiburgall timeBayern Munich
1D
5W
4 Apr 26
SC Freiburg23Bayern Munich
22 Nov 25
Bayern Munich62SC Freiburg
25 Jan 25
SC Freiburg12Bayern Munich
1 Sep 24
Bayern Munich20SC Freiburg
1 Mar 24
SC Freiburg22Bayern Munich
8 Oct 23
Bayern Munich30SC Freiburg

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sc Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 80% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sc Freiburg's current form?

Sc Freiburg have recorded 4W 0D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Sc Freiburg won 0, drew 1, and Bayern Munich won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

SC Freiburg Win8%
Draw12%
Bayern Munich Win80%
BTTS80%
Over 2.592%

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