Match Analysis

SC Paderborn 07vsHamburg SV

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
28%
31%
SC Paderborn 07 winDrawHamburg SV win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
0.97Avg goals scored1.22
1.64Avg goals conceded2.15
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

SC Paderborn 07 xG

Expected goals

1.1

Hamburg SV xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

12%

0–1

10%

0–0

9%

2–0

8%

2–1

8%

Home

SC Paderborn 07

SC Paderborn 07

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburg SV?

SC Paderborn 07 is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SC Paderborn 07's current form?

SC Paderborn 07 have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SC Paderborn 07 Win41%
Draw28%
Hamburg SV Win31%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%