Match Analysis

Schalke 04vsBorussia Dortmund

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

12%
28%
60%
Schalke 04 winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.20
0.84Avg goals scored2.14
1.22Avg goals conceded0.91
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.5

Schalke 04 xG

Expected goals

1.4

Borussia Dortmund xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

21%

0–0

15%

0–2

15%

1–1

10%

0–3

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Schalke 04

Schalke 04

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Schalke 04 vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Schalke 04's current form?

Schalke 04 have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (21% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Schalke 04 Win12%
Draw28%
Borussia Dortmund Win60%
BTTS30%
Over 2.530%