Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Schalke 04 xG
Expected goals
0.5
Mainz xG
15%
Both Teams to Score
8%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
37%
0–1
18%
1–0
18%
1–1
9%
0–2
5%
2–0
5%
Home
Schalke 04
Away
Mainz
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
0.5 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Schalke 04 vs Mainz?
Mainz is favored with a 29% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (37% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 15%. Over 2.5 goals: 8%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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