Match Analysis

SV ElversbergvsSC Freiburg

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

11%
19%
70%
SV Elversberg winDrawSC Freiburg win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
1.28Avg goals scored2.68
1.45Avg goals conceded0.86
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.7

SV Elversberg xG

Expected goals

2

SC Freiburg xG

44%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

13%

0–2

13%

0–3

9%

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

7%

Home

SV Elversberg

SV Elversberg

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg?

SC Freiburg is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is SV Elversberg's current form?

SV Elversberg have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

SV Elversberg Win11%
Draw19%
SC Freiburg Win70%
BTTS44%
Over 2.551%