Match Analysis

TSG HoffenheimvsBayer Leverkusen

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
12%
75%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawBayer Leverkusen win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.20
1.79Avg goals scored2.92
2.63Avg goals conceded1.69
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

4

Bayer Leverkusen xG

83%

Both Teams to Score

93%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–3

6%

1–4

6%

2–3

5%

2–4

5%

1–2

4%

1–5

4%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.6

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.9 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is TSG Hoffenheim's current form?

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 83%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win13%
Draw12%
Bayer Leverkusen Win75%
BTTS83%
Over 2.593%