Tsg Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
TSG Hoffenheim xG
Expected goals
4
Borussia Dortmund xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
89%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
0–3
6%
0–4
6%
1–5
6%
0–5
5%
Home
TSG Hoffenheim
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.8 / 2.9
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.5 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Tsg Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Tsg Hoffenheim's current form?
Tsg Hoffenheim have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Tsg Hoffenheim won 2, drew 1, and Borussia Dortmund won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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