Tsg Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund
GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
TSG Hoffenheim xG
Expected goals
3.2
Borussia Dortmund xG
53%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
10%
0–2
9%
0–4
8%
1–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–1
6%
Home
TSG Hoffenheim
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
2.0 / 2.3
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Borussia Dortmund
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.7
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Tsg Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Tsg Hoffenheim's current form?
Tsg Hoffenheim have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Tsg Hoffenheim won 2, drew 1, and Borussia Dortmund won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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