Match Analysis

TSG HoffenheimvsHamburg SV

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

85%
10%
5%
TSG Hoffenheim winDrawHamburg SV win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.20
1.70Avg goals scored0.59
2.48Avg goals conceded3.21
1–0–4Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.3

TSG Hoffenheim xG

Expected goals

0.8

Hamburg SV xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–0

10%

2–0

9%

3–1

8%

4–0

8%

2–1

7%

4–1

7%

Home

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

LLWLL

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Away

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

WLLLW

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.6 / 3.2

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburg SV?

TSG Hoffenheim is favored with a 85% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is TSG Hoffenheim's current form?

TSG Hoffenheim have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

TSG Hoffenheim Win85%
Draw10%
Hamburg SV Win5%
BTTS53%
Over 2.578%