Match Analysis

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
26%
33%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawBorussia Dortmund win

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected goals

1.3

Borussia Dortmund xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

9%

10

9%

21

9%

12

8%

00

7%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $47K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
VfB Stuttgart
41%
40%
FAIR
Draw
26%
Borussia Dortmund
33%
60%
-27%
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Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

VfB Stuttgart

No data

Away

Borussia Dortmund

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?

VfB Stuttgart is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

VfB Stuttgart Win41%
Draw26%
Borussia Dortmund Win33%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%