Match Analysis

Vfb Stuttgart vs Fc Cologne

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
16%
52%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawFC Cologne win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.40
1.37Avg goals scored2.50
4.13Avg goals conceded2.51
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected goals

4

FC Cologne xG

88%

Both Teams to Score

95%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

13

5%

14

5%

23

5%

24

5%

15

4%

22

4%

Home

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

LWLDW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.4 / 4.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

FC Cologne

FC Cologne

WWLLD

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.5 / 2.5

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings

Vfb Stuttgartall timeFc Cologne
3W
1D
14 Feb 26
VfB Stuttgart31FC Cologne
28 Sep 25
FC Cologne12VfB Stuttgart
24 Feb 24
VfB Stuttgart11FC Cologne
30 Sep 23
FC Cologne02VfB Stuttgart

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Vfb Stuttgart vs Fc Cologne?

FC Cologne is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Vfb Stuttgart's current form?

Vfb Stuttgart have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 4 Bundesliga meetings, Vfb Stuttgart won 3, drew 1, and Fc Cologne won 0.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 88%. Over 2.5 goals: 95%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

VfB Stuttgart Win32%
Draw16%
FC Cologne Win52%
BTTS88%
Over 2.595%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi