Match Analysis

Werder BremenvsHamburg SV

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

78%
12%
10%
Werder Bremen winDrawHamburg SV win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
2.04Avg goals scored1.29
1.95Avg goals conceded2.85
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.5

Werder Bremen xG

Expected goals

1.3

Hamburg SV xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

86%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

8%

2–1

7%

4–1

7%

3–0

6%

2–0

5%

3–2

5%

Home

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Werder Bremen vs Hamburg SV?

Werder Bremen is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Werder Bremen's current form?

Werder Bremen have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Werder Bremen Win78%
Draw12%
Hamburg SV Win10%
BTTS71%
Over 2.586%