Match Analysis

Werder Bremen vs Rb Leipzig

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
27%
49%
Werder Bremen winDrawRB Leipzig win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.80
1.78Avg goals scored1.88
2.31Avg goals conceded1.72
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Werder Bremen xG

Expected goals

2.4

RB Leipzig xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

80%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

7%

22

7%

11

6%

13

6%

21

6%

23

6%

Home

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

WLWLL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

LWWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Werder Bremenall timeRb Leipzig
3D
3W
4 Apr 26
Werder Bremen12RB Leipzig
23 Nov 25
RB Leipzig20Werder Bremen
10 May 25
Werder Bremen00RB Leipzig
12 Jan 25
RB Leipzig42Werder Bremen
11 May 24
RB Leipzig11Werder Bremen
19 Dec 23
Werder Bremen11RB Leipzig

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Werder Bremen vs Rb Leipzig?

RB Leipzig is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Werder Bremen's current form?

Werder Bremen have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Werder Bremen won 0, drew 3, and Rb Leipzig won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 80%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Werder Bremen Win24%
Draw27%
RB Leipzig Win49%
BTTS77%
Over 2.580%

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