Match Analysis

Werder Bremen vs Tsg Hoffenheim

GER Bundesliga · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
15%
47%
Werder Bremen winDrawTSG Hoffenheim win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.20
1.66Avg goals scored2.00
1.90Avg goals conceded2.25
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Werder Bremen xG

Expected goals

2

TSG Hoffenheim xG

77%

Both Teams to Score

79%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

7%

12

7%

21

7%

22

7%

23

5%

31

5%

Home

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.9

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

WLLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Werder Bremenall timeTsg Hoffenheim
1W
5W
9 May 26
TSG Hoffenheim10Werder Bremen
27 Jan 26
Werder Bremen02TSG Hoffenheim
16 Feb 25
Werder Bremen13TSG Hoffenheim
29 Sep 24
TSG Hoffenheim34Werder Bremen
3 Mar 24
TSG Hoffenheim21Werder Bremen
7 Oct 23
Werder Bremen23TSG Hoffenheim

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Werder Bremen vs Tsg Hoffenheim?

TSG Hoffenheim is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Werder Bremen's current form?

Werder Bremen have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Bundesliga meetings, Werder Bremen won 1, drew 0, and Tsg Hoffenheim won 5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 77%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Werder Bremen Win38%
Draw15%
TSG Hoffenheim Win47%
BTTS77%
Over 2.579%