Aek Athens vs Real Madrid
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.6
AEK Athens xG
Expected goals
2
Real Madrid xG
39%
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
15%
0–2
15%
0–3
10%
1–1
9%
1–2
9%
0–0
7%
Home
AEK Athens
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.0
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aek Athens vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is favored with a 71% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aek Athens's current form?
Aek Athens have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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