Match Analysis

Arsenal vs Lille

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
19%
5%
Arsenal winDrawLille win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game2.00
1.00Avg goals scored2.00
0.15Avg goals conceded3.00
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Arsenal xG

Expected goals

0.3

Lille xG

22%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

10

22%

20

20%

00

12%

30

12%

11

7%

21

6%

Home

Arsenal

Arsenal

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.2

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

Lille

Lille

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Lille?

Arsenal is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Arsenal's current form?

Arsenal have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Arsenal Win76%
Draw19%
Lille Win5%
BTTS22%
Over 2.535%