Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Arsenal xG
Expected goals
0.3
Lille xG
22%
Both Teams to Score
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
22%
2–0
20%
0–0
12%
3–0
12%
1–1
7%
2–1
6%
Home
Arsenal
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.2
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Lille
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 3.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Lille?
Arsenal is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 22%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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