Arsenalvs
Real Madrid
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.9
Arsenal xG
Expected goals
3.3
Real Madrid xG
91%
Both Teams to Score
95%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
5%
2–3
5%
3–3
5%
1–3
4%
2–4
4%
3–2
4%
Home
Arsenal
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.3 / 0.0
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Real Madrid
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
3.3 / 2.3
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Arsenal vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 91%. Over 2.5 goals: 95%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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