Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3
AS Roma xG
Expected goals
1.8
Lille xG
79%
Both Teams to Score
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
7%
3–1
7%
2–2
6%
3–2
6%
4–1
5%
1–1
4%
Home
AS Roma
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
3.0 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Lille
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 3.4
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win AS Roma vs Lille?
AS Roma is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is AS Roma's current form?
AS Roma have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 79%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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