Match Analysis

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
26%
33%
Aston Villa winDrawFenerbahce win

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

1.3

Fenerbahce xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

12%

01

9%

10

9%

21

9%

12

8%

00

7%

Home

Aston Villa

No data

Away

Fenerbahce

No data

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce?

Aston Villa is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Form data unavailable — equal weighting applied

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Aston Villa Win41%
Draw26%
Fenerbahce Win33%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%