Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.1
Atletico Madrid xG
Expected goals
4
Bayern Munich xG
86%
Both Teams to Score
94%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
5%
1–4
5%
2–3
5%
2–4
5%
1–2
4%
1–5
4%
Home
Atletico Madrid
Away
Bayern Munich
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
5.0 / 0.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich?
Bayern Munich is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 86%. Over 2.5 goals: 94%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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