Barcelona vs Aston Villa
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model4
Barcelona xG
Expected goals
1.6
Aston Villa xG
78%
Both Teams to Score
92%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
6%
4–1
6%
2–1
5%
3–2
5%
4–2
5%
5–1
5%
Home
Barcelona
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
5.0 / 1.0
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
3.0 / 2.0
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
Barcelona is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Barcelona's current form?
Barcelona have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 92%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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