Match Analysis

Borussia DortmundvsAEK Athens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
19%
25%
Borussia Dortmund winDrawAEK Athens win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
1.45Avg goals scored1.00
1.21Avg goals conceded3.21
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected goals

1.6

AEK Athens xG

73%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

7%

3–2

6%

1–2

5%

Home

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.2

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

DLLWW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.2

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Borussia Dortmund vs AEK Athens?

Borussia Dortmund is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?

Borussia Dortmund have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Borussia Dortmund Win56%
Draw19%
AEK Athens Win25%
BTTS73%
Over 2.578%