Match Analysis

ComovsParis Saint-Germain

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

22%
14%
64%
Como winDrawParis Saint-Germain win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.60
2.72Avg goals scored4.72
2.28Avg goals conceded1.64
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Como xG

Expected goals

4

Paris Saint-Germain xG

90%

Both Teams to Score

96%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–3

5%

2–4

5%

1–3

4%

1–4

4%

2–2

4%

2–5

4%

Home

Como

Como

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.7 / 2.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.7 / 1.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Como vs Paris Saint-Germain?

Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Como's current form?

Como have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–3 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 90%. Over 2.5 goals: 96%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Como Win22%
Draw14%
Paris Saint-Germain Win64%
BTTS90%
Over 2.596%