Match Analysis

Fenerbahce vs Liverpool

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
33%
46%
Fenerbahce winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
1.00Avg goals scored2.00
1.00Avg goals conceded1.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–3–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.6

Fenerbahce xG

Expected goals

1.1

Liverpool xG

30%

Both Teams to Score

24%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

20%

00

18%

11

12%

02

11%

10

11%

12

7%

Home

Fenerbahce

Fenerbahce

DDLWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Fenerbahce vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Fenerbahce's current form?

Fenerbahce have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 30%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Fenerbahce Win21%
Draw33%
Liverpool Win46%
BTTS30%
Over 2.524%