Match Analysis

Lens vs Como

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

13%
12%
75%
Lens winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
3.00Avg goals scored4.00
2.00Avg goals conceded1.00
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.8

Lens xG

Expected goals

4

Como xG

82%

Both Teams to Score

93%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

13

6%

14

6%

15

5%

23

5%

24

5%

12

4%

Home

Lens

Lens

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

3.0 / 2.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Como

Como

WWWWD

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.0 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lens vs Como?

Como is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lens's current form?

Lens have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 82%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Lens Win13%
Draw12%
Como Win75%
BTTS82%
Over 2.593%