Match Analysis

Lille vs Bayern Munich

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
13%
68%
Lille winDrawBayern Munich win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.60
2.00Avg goals scored5.00
3.00Avg goals conceded0.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Lille xG

Expected goals

4

Bayern Munich xG

88%

Both Teams to Score

95%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

13

5%

14

5%

23

5%

24

5%

15

4%

22

4%

Home

Lille

Lille

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

WWDWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

5.0 / 0.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Bayern Munich?

Bayern Munich is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (5% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 88%. Over 2.5 goals: 95%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Lille Win19%
Draw13%
Bayern Munich Win68%
BTTS88%
Over 2.595%