Match Analysis

Lille vs Galatasaray

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

75%
12%
13%
Lille winDrawGalatasaray win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.40
2.00Avg goals scored1.00
3.00Avg goals conceded3.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.7

Lille xG

Expected goals

1.6

Galatasaray xG

78%

Both Teams to Score

90%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

31

7%

41

6%

21

5%

32

5%

42

5%

51

5%

Home

Lille

Lille

WLWDW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Galatasaray

Galatasaray

WLWWW

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Galatasaray?

Lille is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 78%. Over 2.5 goals: 90%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Lille Win75%
Draw12%
Galatasaray Win13%
BTTS78%
Over 2.590%