Match Analysis

LillevsSlovan Bratislava

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

65%
24%
11%
Lille winDrawSlovan Bratislava win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.60
0.72Avg goals scored0.36
3.00Avg goals conceded4.07
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Lille xG

Expected goals

0.5

Slovan Bratislava xG

31%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

20%

2–0

16%

0–0

12%

1–1

10%

2–1

8%

3–0

8%

Home

Lille

Lille

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.7 / 3.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Slovan Bratislava

Slovan Bratislava

DLWDW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.4 / 4.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Lille vs Slovan Bratislava?

Lille is favored with a 65% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Lille's current form?

Lille have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (20% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Lille Win65%
Draw24%
Slovan Bratislava Win11%
BTTS31%
Over 2.535%