Match Analysis

LiverpoolvsLens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
16%
21%
Liverpool winDrawLens win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.40
4.33Avg goals scored0.64
2.58Avg goals conceded2.42
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.1

Liverpool xG

Expected goals

1.8

Lens xG

80%

Both Teams to Score

87%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

7%

2–1

6%

2–2

6%

3–2

6%

4–1

5%

4–2

5%

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

4.3 / 2.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Lens

Lens

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Lens?

Liverpool is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liverpool's current form?

Liverpool have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 80%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Liverpool Win63%
Draw16%
Lens Win21%
BTTS80%
Over 2.587%