Match Analysis

Manchester City vs Aek Athens

UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

67%
18%
15%
Manchester City winDrawAEK Athens win

Key Stats

3.00Points per game2.20
2.00Avg goals scored1.00
0.00Avg goals conceded0.00
5–0–0Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Manchester City xG

Expected goals

1

AEK Athens xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

20

10%

21

10%

10

8%

11

8%

30

7%

31

7%

Home

Manchester City

Manchester City

WWWWW

PPG

3.00

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.0

Last 5

5W 0D 0L

Away

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

DWWDW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Aek Athens?

Manchester City is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester City's current form?

Manchester City have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Manchester City Win67%
Draw18%
AEK Athens Win15%
BTTS57%
Over 2.564%