Manchester City vs Napoli
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
1.9
Napoli xG
59%
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
0–2
8%
1–3
6%
2–1
6%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.0
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Napoli
PPG
1.20
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 1 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Napoli?
Napoli is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 1 Champions League meetings, Manchester City won 1, drew 0, and Napoli won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (1 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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