Manchester City vs Paris Saintgermain
UCL Champions League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
4
Paris Saint-Germain xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
89%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
0–3
6%
0–4
6%
1–5
6%
0–5
5%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.0
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Paris Saint-Germain
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
5.2 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Paris Saintgermain?
Paris Saint-Germain is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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